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 Post subject: Hurricane Sandy - "Seriously Strong Wind On The Way?"
PostPosted: Wed May 15, 2013 6:02 pm 
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Location: Florida
RickI wrote:
It is too far off to say with much certainty but it looks like the east coast of Florida and certainly the Bahamas will have some strong winds this week from TS Sandy. Before that though Jamaica and Cuba may well feel Sandy as a Cat. I hurricane. It is supposed to weaken down to a tropical storm again as it passes over Cuba, lets hope it does. At any rate take good care out there.

Image
From Passageweather.com
This is just one model out of many and yet it has been fairly reliable at times in the past.

This advanced forecast is from around 7 am local time in Florida on Friday, October 26, 2012. You can see some strong winds just offshore and likely for some hours before that. The timing of this is uncertain this far in advance, so don't fixate on any of this. It is just an advanced heads up.

Whether we have serious squalls or not may depend on feeder band development, embedded squalls and placement. It is too far off at this point to say much more about that. The current rain forecast for Florida is low but that could change.


Image
http://www.wunderground.com/data/
A look at the basin satellite imagery


Image
http://www.wunderground.com/
A closer look at Florida, some feeder bands are already sliding over Florida Tuesday afternoon.


Be sure to monitor http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ and http://fksa.org/showthread.php?t=1609 as this system passes through to try to avoid nasty surprises.


Here is the NWS forecast for Palm Beach County. This will change in the coming days how much in what way is uncertain at this time.

"Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM

Rest Of Today: East northeast winds 17 to 22 knots with gusts to around 30 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas up to 5 feet building to 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet in the afternoon. Dominant period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Isolated showers.

Tonight: East northeast winds 13 to 18 knots along the coast to east northeast 17 to 22 knots with gusts to around 30 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Isolated showers.

Wednesday: East northeast winds 19 to 24 knots with gusts to around 35 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas up to 9 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters rough in exposed areas. Chance of showers.

Wednesday Night: East northeast winds 16 to 21 knots with gusts to around 30 knots along the coast to east northeast 22 to 27 knots with gusts to around 40 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas up to 10 feet. Dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters rough in exposed areas. Scattered showers.

Thursday: Northeast winds 26 to 31 knots along the coast to northeast 27 to 32 knots with gusts to around 45 knots in the gulf stream. Along the coast...gusts up to 45 knots in the afternoon. Seas 9 to 11 feet with occasional seas up to 14 feet. Intracoastal waters very rough in exposed areas. Chance of showers.

Thursday Night: Tropical storm conditions possible. Chance of showers.

Friday: Tropical storm conditions possible. Chance of showers.

Friday Night: Northwest winds 27 to 32 knots with gusts to around 45 knots along the coast to north northwest 27 to 32 knots with gusts to around 45 knots in the gulf stream. Along the coast...seas 15 to 18 feet with occasional seas up to 22 feet subsiding to 12 to 14 feet with occasional seas up to 18 feet. In the gulf stream...seas 18 to 22 feet with occasional seas up to 25 feet subsiding to 14 to 17 feet with occasional seas up to 20 feet. Intracoastal waters rough in exposed areas. Slight chance of showers.

Saturday: Northwest winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts to around 35 knots along the coast to north northwest 27 to 32 knots with gusts to around 45 knots in the gulf stream. Along the coast... Seas 8 to 10 feet with occasional seas up to 13 feet subsiding to 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas up to 9 feet in the afternoon. In the gulf stream...seas 11 to 13 feet with occasional seas up to 17 feet subsiding to 8 to 10 feet with occasional seas up to 13 feet in the afternoon. Intracoastal waters rough. Slight chance of showers. "

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mfl/

Speaking of the Bahamas, it doesn't look good over there at all from the forecast, much less for kiting per Barometer Bob in the Abacos. Bet there will be a ton of squalls as well as high sustained winds the rest of the time with the storm passage.
More at: http://barometerbob.org

Kite responsibly within your abilities, experience and gear limits as always. Don't have a small enough kite, solid past experience in similar conditions or if squalls move in, don't kite.



FKA, Inc.

transcribed by:
Rick Iossi


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Originally posted at viewtopic.php?f=1&t=2377950


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